The map of the Italian provinces most affected by the Covid-19 summer wave

The map of the Italian provinces most affected by the Covid-19 summer wave

The Covid-19 contagion curve, as had already had the opportunity to tell a few days ago, has started to rise again. A curve that has already surpassed all the previous ones, with the sole exception of the one triggered earlier this year by the Omicron variant. The positive aspect is that hospitalizations and deaths are still contained when compared with those seen in the past months.

To tell in more detail in which areas of the country the summer wave of Covid-19 is hitting the hardest, it is possible to cross again the data of the Civil Protection on infections with those of Istat, in order to calculate the incidence per 100 thousand inhabitants on a provincial basis. The result is this:

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Here if you don't see the graph The darkest provinces are those with the highest incidence of new cases on a weekly basis. The filter at the bottom (bottom left for desk readers) allows you to zoom in on a single region. The map is updated on a daily basis, calculating the incidence per thousand inhabitants in the last seven days.

The glance on the map tells us that the infections in this phase are more widespread in the southern regions. The highest value, while this piece is being written, is recorded in the province of Lecce (Puglia), where in the last seven days there have been 1,532 new infections per 100 thousand residents. The least affected Cuneo (Piedmont) with 497. To give an idea, 500 was the limit, in addition of course to those related to hospitalizations, beyond which the yellow zone was triggered when the color system was still in force.

However, it is good to keep in mind that it is summer. And that in the summer months the areas with the greatest tourist vocation, such as Salento, see the number of inhabitants grow, in the sense that there are tourists. For the calculation of the incidence, however, the value of the residents as of January 1, 2021 is used and for this reason it could be overestimated in the southern regions and, on the contrary, underestimated in those northern provinces where tourists will return after the holidays have ended. br>
A data more relevant to reality, at least as regards the incidence of infections, can be obtained in September. Although the hope is that by that date the current wave may be in its downward phase.