Nueva Chicago vs Club A. Guemes: Match Preview, Predictions and Betting Tips
Published on Thursday, 02 July 2026 by Steve
Nueva Chicago vs Club A. Guemes - Primera Nacional 2026 Match Preview
Argentina Primera Nacional Prediction & Betting Tips
Match Overview
Primera Nacional: Güemes 0 - Nueva Chicago 1. - FUTBOL DE SANTIAGO DEL ESTERO
The upcoming fixture between Nueva Chicago and Club Atlético Güemes promises to be a compelling encounter in the Argentina Primera Nacional 2026 season, as both sides look to climb the Zona B standings at the iconic Estadio República de Mataderos. With the match scheduled for Saturday, July 4, 2026, at 18:30 UTC, football enthusiasts and betting aficionados alike are eagerly anticipating what could be a pivotal moment in the campaign for both clubs. Nueva Chicago currently sits in 11th position in Zona B with 22 points from 17 matches, while Güemes finds itself in 17th place with 19 points from 18 games, making this a crucial six-pointer in the context of the promotion playoff race and relegation battle.
The home side, Nueva Chicago, has experienced a rollercoaster season under the guidance of head coach Germán Lanaro, who took charge recently and has managed to secure a 33% win rate across his first three matches, averaging 1.33 points per game. The Mataderos-based club has shown flashes of brilliance, particularly in their home fixtures, where they have managed to secure important results against some of the division's stronger sides. However, inconsistency has plagued their campaign, with a recent run of just one win in their last five matches highlighting the need for a more cohesive and determined performance. Their most recent results include a disappointing 0-1 loss away to Deportivo Maipú, a hard-fought 1-1 draw against Temperley, a morale-boosting 2-0 victory over Chacarita Juniors, a heavy 0-4 defeat at Gimnasia Jujuy, and a goalless stalemate with Atlético Rafaela.
On the other hand, Club Atlético Güemes arrives in Buenos Aires with their own set of challenges under the stewardship of Pablo Guiñazú, who was appointed on May 20, 2026, and prefers a 4-4-2 double 6 formation. The Santiago del Estero-based outfit has struggled for consistency throughout the campaign, finding themselves in the lower reaches of the table and in contention for the relegation zone. Despite their precarious position, Güemes has shown resilience in certain fixtures, managing to secure five wins and four draws from their 18 matches. Their away form has been particularly concerning, with the team struggling to pick up points on the road, which does not bode well for their chances at the intimidating Estadio República de Mataderos. The historical head-to-head record between these two sides favors Güemes, who have won three of their four previous encounters, with Nueva Chicago managing just one victory and no draws. However, football is a game of moments, and with both teams desperate for points, this fixture could very well defy historical trends.
Tactical Preview
Debut con derrota para Güemes en la Isla ante Nueva Chicago - infodelestero.com
Formation & Key Matchups
Nueva Chicago 4-4-2
Germán Lanaro has predominantly favored a 4-4-2 formation since taking charge of Nueva Chicago, a system that allows for defensive solidity while providing attacking width through the flanks. The two banks of four provide a compact defensive structure, making it difficult for opponents to penetrate through the center. In attack, the partnership between Sebastián Cocimano, the team's top scorer with 5 goals this season, and the supporting cast of Alan Ruiz and Thiago Ocampo has shown promise. The wide midfielders are expected to provide crosses and cut inside to create overloads, while the central midfield pairing will look to control the tempo and dictate play from deep. The full-backs, likely to be Bruno Palazzo and Gonzalo Trindade, will be crucial in providing width and supporting the attack, but they must also be wary of Güemes' counter-attacking threats.
Club A. Guemes 4-4-2 Double 6
Pablo Guiñazú's preferred 4-4-2 double 6 formation is a variation of the traditional 4-4-2, with two defensive midfielders sitting in front of the back four to provide additional protection. This system is designed to stifle the opposition's creative players and break up play before it reaches the defensive third. In attack, Güemes relies on the experience of Juan Sánchez Sotelo, who has netted 5 goals this season, and the creativity of Santiago Sala and David Véliz, who leads the team in assists with 3. The wide players in the 4-4-2 system will need to track back diligently to support the full-backs, as Nueva Chicago's wingers will look to exploit any space left behind. The double pivot of Fernando Gabriel Godoy and Walter Juárez will be tasked with winning second balls and launching quick transitions to catch Nueva Chicago off guard.
Critical Vulnerability
The critical vulnerability for Club Atlético Güemes lies in their defensive transitions and their inability to maintain concentration for the full 90 minutes. Nueva Chicago's coaching staff will have identified that Güemes tends to drop deep when under pressure, inviting crosses and set-piece situations. With players like Bruno Palazzo capable of delivering dangerous balls into the box and Sebastián Cocimano's aerial prowess, the home side could exploit this weakness. Additionally, Güemes' away form has been poor, and their confidence levels may be fragile if Nueva Chicago can score an early goal. The Mataderos crowd, known for their passionate support, will play a significant role in unsettling the visitors and creating an atmosphere that could force errors from the Güemes backline.
Team News & Squad Status
Nueva Chicago 📊
- Sebastián Cocimano leads the scoring charts with 5 goals in the 2025/2026 season and is expected to start as the focal point of the attack.
- Alan Ruiz (2 goals) and Thiago Ocampo (2 goals, 3 assists) provide creative support from midfield positions.
- New signing Gonzalo Trindade from River Plate has settled well into the defensive unit and is likely to feature at left-back.
- Evelio Cardozo, signed from Racing Club, adds flair and creativity on the wing with 2 assists to his name.
- Goalkeeper Facundo Masuero, acquired from Defensa y Justicia, has been a reliable presence between the sticks.
- Midfielder Emiliano Méndez brings experience and composure to the center of the park at 37 years old.
- Defenders Román Zalazar and Gabriel Reta form a solid central defensive partnership.
- Lucas Ambrogio, signed from Argentinos Juniors, offers versatility in wide attacking areas.
- The squad has an average age of 25.8 years and a total market value of approximately €3.91 million.
- No major injury concerns reported ahead of this fixture; the squad is near full strength.
Club A. Guemes ⚠️
- Juan Sánchez Sotelo is the team's top scorer with 5 goals and will be the primary threat in attack.
- Santiago Sala has contributed 3 goals and 2 assists from midfield, making him a key creative outlet.
- David Véliz leads the team in assists with 3 and will look to supply the forwards from wide positions.
- Thomas Amilivia has chipped in with 2 goals and will likely partner Sánchez Sotelo in the forward line.
- Goalkeeper Leandro Finochietto will need to be at his best to keep Nueva Chicago at bay.
- Defenders Axel Bordón, Tomás Oneto, and Facundo Melillán form the core of the back four.
- Walter Juárez and Fernando Gabriel Godoy provide defensive cover in the double pivot midfield role.
- Milton Gerez offers energy and drive from the midfield engine room.
- The squad has an average age of 28.1 years with a total market value of approximately €1.83 million.
- Güemes has struggled with consistency, particularly in away fixtures, which remains a concern.
Predicted Lineups
Nueva Chicago debutó en la Primera Nacional con un triunfo por la mínima ante Güemes - Agencia Noticias Argentinas
| Nueva Chicago 4-4-2 | Club A. Guemes 4-4-2 Double 6 |
|---|---|
| Facundo Masuero (GK) | Leandro Finochietto (GK) |
| Bruno Palazzo (RB) | Axel Bordón (RB) |
| Román Zalazar (CB) | Tomás Oneto (CB) |
| Gabriel Reta (CB) | Facundo Melillán (CB) |
| Gonzalo Trindade (LB) | Emilio Lazza (LB) |
| Evelio Cardozo (RM) | Milton Gerez (RM) |
| Emiliano Méndez (CM) | Fernando Gabriel Godoy (DM) |
| Alan Ruiz (CM) | Walter Juárez (DM) |
| Thiago Ocampo (LM) | Santiago Sala (LM) |
| Sebastián Cocimano (ST) | Thomas Amilivia (ST) |
| Lucas Ambrogio (ST) | Juan Sánchez Sotelo (ST) |
Head-to-Head Record
Primera Nacional: Güemes 0 - Nueva Chicago 1. - FUTBOL DE SANTIAGO DEL ESTERO
The historical head-to-head record between Nueva Chicago and Club Atlético Güemes reveals an interesting dynamic, with the Santiago del Estero side holding the upper hand in their previous encounters. Across four meetings in the Primera Nacional, Güemes has emerged victorious on three occasions, while Nueva Chicago has managed just one win, and remarkably, no matches have ended in a draw. This suggests that when these two teams meet, there is usually a decisive outcome, which bodes well for those looking at draw-no-bet markets or outright winner predictions. The aggregate scoreline across these four fixtures stands at 5-2 in favor of Güemes, with the visitors averaging 1.25 goals per game compared to Nueva Chicago's 0.5. However, it is worth noting that three of these encounters took place at Güemes' home ground, Estadio Arturo Jiya Miranda, where they have historically been stronger.
Despite the historical advantage lying with Güemes, the context of this fixture is markedly different. Nueva Chicago will be playing in front of their home crowd at the Estadio República de Mataderos, a venue that has a capacity of 28,500 and is renowned for its intense atmosphere. The home side has won two of their home games this season and will be looking to add to that tally. Furthermore, the psychological aspect of playing at home cannot be underestimated, especially for a team that has struggled for consistency. Güemes' away record has been poor, with just one win from their travels this season, and they have conceded an average of 1.67 goals per game on the road. This vulnerability, combined with Nueva Chicago's need to bounce back from recent disappointments, sets the stage for a potentially different outcome than history might suggest. The hot predictions for this match indicate that the home advantage could be the decisive factor.
Key Players Comparison
Sebastián Cocimano
Top Scorer - 5 Goals
Juan Sánchez Sotelo
Top Scorer - 5 Goals
Thiago Ocampo
3 Assists, 2 Goals
David Véliz
3 Assists, 1 Goal
Alan Ruiz
2 Goals, Midfield Engine
Santiago Sala
3 Goals, 2 Assists
The key players comparison for this fixture highlights a fascinating battle between two strikers who have both found the net five times this season: Sebastián Cocimano for Nueva Chicago and Juan Sánchez Sotelo for Club Atlético Güemes. Cocimano has been the talisman for the home side, using his physical presence and clinical finishing to lead the line effectively. His ability to hold up the ball and bring others into play will be crucial against a Güemes defense that has shown vulnerability under pressure. Sánchez Sotelo, on the other hand, is a more mobile forward who thrives on through balls and quick transitions. His partnership with Thomas Amilivia will test the concentration of Nueva Chicago's center-backs, Román Zalazar and Gabriel Reta. In the creative department, Thiago Ocampo and David Véliz are the players to watch. Ocampo has been Nueva Chicago's chief creator with 3 assists, while Véliz leads Güemes in the same metric. The battle between these two playmakers could very well decide the outcome of the match. For those interested in correct score tips, the individual matchups in the final third will be critical.
The Managers
Germán Lanaro (Nueva Chicago)
Germán Lanaro took over the reins at Nueva Chicago with the task of stabilizing a team that had been underperforming relative to its potential. In his short tenure so far, he has managed to instill a sense of discipline and organization, achieving a 33% win rate and an average of 1.33 points per game from his first three matches. Lanaro's preferred 4-4-2 system emphasizes defensive solidity and quick transitions, which has yielded mixed results but shows promise. His challenge against Güemes will be to break down a team that is likely to sit deep and absorb pressure, requiring patience and creativity from his attacking players. Lanaro's ability to make tactical adjustments during the match, particularly in terms of substitutions and formation tweaks, could be the difference between a draw and a victory. The evolution of football tactics under managers like Lanaro shows how important in-game management has become.
Lanaro's approach to this fixture will likely focus on exploiting Güemes' weaknesses on the road. He will be aware that the visitors have conceded heavily in away matches and will look to apply early pressure to force mistakes. The inclusion of new signings like Gonzalo Trindade and Evelio Cardozo suggests that Lanaro is not afraid to give opportunities to players who can make an immediate impact. His experience in Argentine football, although still developing as a head coach, has equipped him with an understanding of the unique pressures of the Primera Nacional. A win against Güemes would not only boost the team's standing in the table but also provide Lanaro with the confidence and backing of the Mataderos faithful as the season progresses.
Pablo Guiñazú (Club A. Guemes)
Pablo Guiñazú was appointed as the head coach of Club Atlético Güemes on May 20, 2026, bringing with him a wealth of experience from his playing days and early managerial career. At 47 years old, Guiñazú is known for his pragmatic approach and his preferred 4-4-2 double 6 formation, which prioritizes defensive stability and structured counter-attacks. His task at Güemes is a challenging one, as the team is currently embroiled in a relegation battle and has struggled for consistency throughout the campaign. Guiñazú's ability to organize his team defensively will be put to the test at the Estadio República de Mataderos, where Nueva Chicago will look to dominate possession and create chances. The bookmaker odds reflect the difficulty of his task, with Güemes considered underdogs for this fixture.
Guiñazú's tactical philosophy revolves around discipline, hard work, and capitalizing on set-piece opportunities. He will likely instruct his team to remain compact, deny space between the lines, and look to hit Nueva Chicago on the break through the pace and movement of Sánchez Sotelo and Amilivia. The double pivot of Godoy and Juárez will be crucial in screening the defense and breaking up Nueva Chicago's attacking rhythm. Guiñazú's experience in Argentine football means he understands the importance of results over performances, particularly for a team in Güemes' position. A point away from home would be considered a positive result, but Guiñazú will also be aware that his team needs to start winning matches if they are to climb out of the relegation zone. His ability to motivate his players and keep them focused for the full 90 minutes will be critical.
Betting Predictions & Tips
Odds: 1.95
Our top recommendation for this fixture is a home win for Nueva Chicago at European odds of 1.95. The rationale behind this pick is multifaceted. Firstly, Nueva Chicago's home form has been relatively strong, with two wins at the Estadio República de Mataderos this season. Secondly, Güemes' away record has been poor, with the team struggling to pick up points on the road and conceding an average of 1.67 goals per game in away fixtures. Thirdly, the head-to-head record, while favoring Güemes historically, does not account for the current context of both teams' seasons. Nueva Chicago has a stronger squad on paper, with a total market value of €3.91 million compared to Güemes' €1.83 million, and they have the added motivation of climbing the Zona B table. The banker of the day pick is firmly on the home side.
Odds: 1.65
For those looking at over-under markets, the under 2.5 goals selection at 1.65 offers excellent value. Both teams have shown a tendency towards low-scoring affairs, with Nueva Chicago averaging 0.88 goals per game and Güemes averaging just 1.0. Additionally, 7 of Nueva Chicago's matches this season have finished under 2.5 goals, while 9 of Güemes' matches have done the same. The tactical setups of both managers suggest a cautious approach, with Lanaro prioritizing defensive organization and Guiñazú likely to set his team up to frustrate the home side. With both teams desperate for points and neither willing to take unnecessary risks, a tight, low-scoring contest is the most probable outcome. This aligns perfectly with our correct score prediction of 1-0.
Odds: 1.80
The BTTS (Both Teams to Score) market offers another avenue for value, with the "No" option at 1.80 looking particularly appealing. Nueva Chicago has kept 6 clean sheets this season, demonstrating their ability to shut out opponents, particularly at home. Güemes, on the other hand, has failed to score in 5 of their matches and has struggled to create clear-cut chances in away games. The defensive pairing of Zalazar and Reta, backed by the experienced Facundo Masuero in goal, should be capable of keeping Güemes at bay. Meanwhile, Güemes' defense, which has conceded 30 goals in 18 matches, will face a stern test against Cocimano and company. Given the tactical nature of the fixture and the importance of the result for both sides, a clean sheet for the home team is a realistic possibility.
Odds: 6.50
Our correct score prediction is a 1-0 victory for Nueva Chicago at attractive odds of 6.50. This scoreline aligns with the under 2.5 goals and BTTS: No predictions, reflecting our belief that this will be a tight, cagey affair decided by a single moment of quality. Sebastián Cocimano is our pick to score the decisive goal, given his status as the team's top scorer and his ability to find space in crowded penalty areas. A 1-0 result would also be consistent with the historical trend of decisive outcomes in this fixture, as none of the previous four meetings have ended in a draw. For bettors looking for a higher-risk, higher-reward option, the correct score market offers substantial returns.
Odds: 1.45
For the more risk-averse bettor, the Draw No Bet market on Nueva Chicago at 1.45 provides a safety net. This selection means that if the match ends in a draw, your stake will be refunded, and you will only lose if Güemes manages to secure an unlikely victory. Given the importance of this fixture for both teams and the possibility of a cautious approach, the draw no bet option mitigates the risk of a stalemate while still offering a reasonable return on investment. This is particularly relevant given that both teams have drawn a significant number of matches this season—Nueva Chicago has 7 draws from 17 games, while Güemes has 4 from 18.
📊 Final Score Prediction
Match Analysis
Our final score prediction of Nueva Chicago 1-0 Club Atlético Güemes is based on a comprehensive analysis of both teams' form, tactical setups, and the specific context of this fixture. The home side's superior squad depth, combined with their home advantage and the passionate support of the Mataderos crowd, gives them the edge in what is expected to be a closely contested match. The key to victory for Nueva Chicago will be their ability to break down a stubborn Güemes defense that is likely to employ a low block and look to frustrate the home side. However, with creative players like Thiago Ocampo and Evelio Cardozo providing service to Sebastián Cocimano, Nueva Chicago should have enough quality to find the breakthrough.
Defensively, Nueva Chicago will need to remain vigilant against Güemes' counter-attacking threats, particularly the movement of Juan Sánchez Sotelo. The central defensive partnership of Zalazar and Reta, along with the screening presence of Emiliano Méndez and Alan Ruiz in midfield, will be crucial in nullifying Güemes' attacking forays. Given the visitors' poor away form and their struggles in front of goal on the road, a clean sheet for the home side is a realistic expectation. The match is likely to be decided by a single goal, with the decisive moment coming in the second half as Güemes' defensive resolve begins to wane under sustained pressure. For more insights, check our full-time prediction analysis.
Key Insights & Statistics
Sánchez Sotelo, una ficha de jerarquía para Güemes - El centroatacante tiene 38 años y una gran trayectoria, con pasado en la Primera división y el exterior. Vita suma experiencia en la ofensiva.
- Nueva Chicago has won 2 of their 5 home games this season, while Güemes has won just 1 of their 8 away matches.
- The home side has kept 6 clean sheets in the league, compared to Güemes' 2 clean sheets.
- Nueva Chicago's top scorer Sebastián Cocimano has 5 goals, matching Güemes' top scorer Juan Sánchez Sotelo.
- Both teams have a tendency towards low-scoring games, with 60% of Nueva Chicago's matches and 50% of Güemes' matches finishing under 2.5 goals.
- Güemes has the worst goal difference in Zona B at -12, having conceded 30 goals in 18 matches.
- Nueva Chicago has failed to score in 5 of their 17 matches, while Güemes has failed to score in 5 of their 18 matches.
- The last meeting between these sides ended in a victory for Güemes, but that was at their home ground.
- Nueva Chicago's squad market value (€3.91m) is more than double that of Güemes (€1.83m).
- Both teams are managed by relatively new coaches, with Lanaro and Guiñazú still implementing their philosophies.
- The match is a crucial six-pointer in the context of the Zona B standings, with both teams needing points for different reasons.
- Nueva Chicago has drawn 7 of their 17 matches, the highest number of draws in the top half of the table.
- Güemes has lost 9 of their 18 matches, with only Agropecuario and Colegiales having comparable records.
Conclusion
In conclusion, the Nueva Chicago vs Club Atlético Güemes fixture on July 4, 2026, presents a fascinating tactical battle between two teams at different stages of their Primera Nacional campaigns. Nueva Chicago, under Germán Lanaro, will be looking to capitalize on their home advantage and superior squad depth to secure a vital three points that could propel them into the promotion playoff positions. The Mataderos faithful will expect nothing less than a committed performance from their team, and the players will be acutely aware of the importance of delivering a positive result in front of their own supporters. With key players like Sebastián Cocimano, Thiago Ocampo, and Alan Ruiz in good form, the home side has the firepower to break down a Güemes defense that has been porous throughout the season.
For Club Atlético Güemes, the challenge is immense. Pablo Guiñazú's side travels to Buenos Aires knowing that a positive result is essential if they are to escape the relegation zone and build momentum for the second half of the season. However, their away form, defensive vulnerabilities, and the intimidating atmosphere of the Estadio República de Mataderos all point towards a difficult afternoon. While Güemes has historically had the upper hand in this fixture, the current circumstances suggest that Nueva Chicago is well-positioned to reverse that trend. Our prediction of a 1-0 home win is rooted in the statistical evidence, tactical analysis, and the psychological factors that will influence this encounter.
Ultimately, this match is about more than just three points; it is about belief, momentum, and the direction of two clubs with contrasting ambitions. For Nueva Chicago, a win would reaffirm their status as promotion contenders and validate the recent changes in management and squad composition. For Güemes, avoiding defeat would be a step in the right direction, but they will need to show significant improvement if they are to trouble the home side. We recommend backing Nueva Chicago to win, with the under 2.5 goals and BTTS: No markets offering additional value. As always, bet responsibly and enjoy what promises to be an enthralling contest in the heart of Buenos Aires. For more best bets for today, visit our predictions page.
